David Ubilava

Journal Publications:

  1. Ubilava, D. (in press). The Role of El Nino Southern Oscillation in Commodity Price Movement and Predictability. American Journal of Agricultural Economics. [Article] [Working Paper]
  2. Ubilava, D., (in press). On the Relationship between Financial Instability and Economic Performance: Stressing the Business of Nonlinear Modelling. Macroeconomic Dynamics. [Article] [Working Paper]
  3. Smith, S.C. and D. Ubilava, (2017). The El Nino Southern Oscillation and Economic Growth in the Developing World. Global Environmental Change, 45, pp. 151-164. [Article] [Working Paper] [Data and Code]
  4. Ubilava, D., (2017). The ENSO Effect and Asymmetries in Wheat Price Dynamics. World Development, 96, pp. 490-502. [Article] [Working Paper]
  5. Tack, J.B. and D. Ubilava, (2015). Climate and Agricultural Risk: Measuring the Effect of ENSO on U.S. Crop Insurance. Agricultural Economics, 46(2), pp. 245-257. [Article] [Working Paper]
  6. Ubilava, D., (2014). El Niño Southern Oscillation and the Fishmeal - Soya Bean Meal Price Ratio: Regime-Dependent Dynamics Revisited. European Review of Agricultural Economics, 41(4), pp. 583-604. [Article] [Working Paper]
  7. Tack, J.B. and D. Ubilava, (2013). The Effect of El Niño Southern Oscillation on U.S. Corn Production and Downside Risk. Climatic Change, 121(4), pp. 689-700. [Article] [Working Paper]
  8. Ubilava, D. and M.T. Holt, (2013). El Niño Southern Oscillation and its Effects on World Vegetable Oil Prices: Assessing Asymmetries using Smooth Transition Models. Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 57(2), pp. 273-297. [Article] [Working Paper]
  9. Ubilava, D. and C.G. Helmers, (2013). Forecasting ENSO with a Smooth Transition Autoregressive Model. Environmental Modelling & Software, 40, pp. 181-190. [Article] [Working Paper]
  10. Ubilava, D., (2012). Modeling Nonlinearities in the U.S. Soybean-to-Corn Price Ratio: A Smooth Transition Autoregression Approach. Agribusiness: an International Journal, 28(1), pp. 29-41. [Article] [Working Paper available upon request]
  11. Ubilava, D., (2012). El Niño, La Niña, and World Coffee Price Dynamics. Agricultural Economics, 43(1), pp. 17-26. [Article] [Working Paper]
  12. Ubilava, D., Barnett, B.J., Coble, K.H. and A. Harri, (2011). The SURE Program and its Interaction with other Federal Farm Programs. Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 36(3), pp. 630-648. [Article] [Working Paper available upon request]
  13. Ubilava, D., Foster, K. A., Lusk, J. L. and T. Nilsson, (2011). Differences in Consumer Preferences When Facing Branded vs. Non-Branded Choices. Journal of Consumer Behaviour, 10(2), pp. 61-70. [Article] [Working Paper]
  14. Ubilava, D., Foster, K. A., Lusk, J. L. and T. Nilsson, (2010). Effects of Income and Social Awareness on Consumer WTP for Social Product Attributes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77(4), pp. 587-593. [Article] [Working Paper available upon request]
  15. Ubilava, D. and K. A. Foster, (2009). Quality Certification vs. Product Traceability: Consumer Preferences for Informational Attributes of Pork in Georgia. Food Policy, 34(3), pp. 305-310. [Article] [Working Paper]

Research in Progress:

  • "Economics of Sanctions: Evidence from North Korean Commodity Markets" with Justin V. Hastings and Yaohui Wang
  • "Heterogeneous Impact of El Niño Southern Oscillation on Growth: Smooth Transitions Across Latitudes and Longitudes" with Jesse B. Tack and Nelson B. Villoria

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